During an epidemic in a country, the rate of spread of the disease is proportional to the number of people who are healthy; the rate of cure is proportional to the number currently sick. Let be the total population:
(a) Show that
where is the number of sick people;
and
are constants.
(b) Let the total population be growing at a steady rate, so that (independent of the epidemic)
where and
are positive. Show that the number of sick people is given by
.
Calculate ,
, and
in terms of the given constants
,
,
, and
.
What further information would you require to determine ?
(c) After a very long time, what is the proportion of people who will be in a state of sickness?
Roughwork.
This problem is not to be attempted.





